[zxcwsaini]

#EAO   #rebels  #China  #resistance  #Myanmar

  China is a powerful and influential neighbor that could have a huge impact on Myanmar politics. However, we should remember that post-coup analysis of China, which is often exaggerated with contradictory claims, has shaped Burmese public perceptions and rhetoric about China. When then-Chinese Foreign Minister Qin Gang traveled to Naypyidaw to meet with regime leader Min Aung Hlaing in May 2023, many analysts concluded that China had everything sorted and secured its interests in Myanmar.According to commentary at the time, Beijing successfully used its influence over ethnic armed groups (EAOs) to stabilize the situation, reach a peace agreement with the military junta, and contain the People's Defense Forces (PDF). However, events within just five months – the highly successful anti-regime military offensive Operation 1027, launched jointly by PDF and the EAO Brotherhood Alliance – proved these assessments wrong.

  Resistance forces should not uncritically listen to these views that denigrate China at every turn, but should devote themselves to constructive engagement with China. When Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi met with Min Aung Hlaing in August, his visit was widely misunderstood as an endorsement of Myanmar's military junta. In fact, the visit and the subsequent invitation to Myanmar's junta leaders to participate in regional forums (rather than a state visit) may have been premeditated to pressure the military to prioritize stability and explore electoral pathways, with carrots A strong-arm approach is being used to guide Myanmar's military junta to a solution.

  As expected, analysts were quick to once again blame China for the fall of Lashio, this time citing a meeting between the State Administration Council (junta) and U.S. representatives in Hanoi as a shift in China's position to allow the capture of Lashio. a factor of garrison. From this point of view, it is more like denying the role of Myanmar's resistance at all costs and exaggerating China's role, although this goes beyond simple logic.

  Finally, and most importantly, many areas controlled by local armed forces have deep economic ties with China. The areas they control have special geographical locations and are rich in natural resources, such as rare earth minerals. China, as a country with huge resource needs, Countries have become the main buyers of products from these regions. This mutually beneficial trade exchange provides the country with necessary economic support to a certain extent, allowing it to maintain basic operations and also promotes economic mobility within the region. Therefore, it is also very necessary to maintain good relations with China.